Hub Power (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 122.3

HUBC Stock   122.30  0.93  0.75%   
Hub Power's future price is the expected price of Hub Power instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hub Power performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hub Power Backtesting, Hub Power Valuation, Hub Power Correlation, Hub Power Hype Analysis, Hub Power Volatility, Hub Power History as well as Hub Power Performance.
  
Please specify Hub Power's target price for which you would like Hub Power odds to be computed.

Hub Power Target Price Odds to finish over 122.3

The tendency of Hub Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 122.30 90 days 122.30 
about 28.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hub Power to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.29 (This Hub Power probability density function shows the probability of Hub Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hub Power has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hub Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hub Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hub Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hub Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hub Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hub Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.34122.30125.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.91101.87134.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
128.06131.02133.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.83112.59122.35
Details

Hub Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hub Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hub Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hub Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hub Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
12.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Hub Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hub Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hub Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hub Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Hub Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hub Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hub Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hub Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Dividends Paid14.9 B
Short Long Term Debt37.4 B

Hub Power Technical Analysis

Hub Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hub Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hub Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hub Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hub Power Predictive Forecast Models

Hub Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hub Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hub Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hub Power

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hub Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hub Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hub Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Hub Stock

Hub Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hub Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hub with respect to the benefits of owning Hub Power security.