Hang Seng (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.50
| HSB Stock | EUR 11.30 0.10 0.88% |
Hang |
Hang Seng Target Price Odds to finish below 9.50
The tendency of Hang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 9.50 or more in 90 days |
| 11.30 | 90 days | 9.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hang Seng to drop to € 9.50 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hang Seng Bank probability density function shows the probability of Hang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hang Seng Bank price to stay between € 9.50 and its current price of €11.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hang Seng Bank has a beta of -0.0937. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hang Seng are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hang Seng Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hang Seng Bank has an alpha of 0.2469, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hang Seng Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hang Seng
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hang Seng Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hang Seng Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hang Seng is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hang Seng's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hang Seng Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hang Seng within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Hang Seng Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hang Seng for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hang Seng Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hang Seng Bank has accumulated about 23.36 B in cash with (46.38 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hang Seng Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hang Seng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hang Seng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 12.4 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.95 | |
| Shares Float | 723.8 M |
Hang Seng Technical Analysis
Hang Seng's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hang Seng Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hang Seng Predictive Forecast Models
Hang Seng's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hang Seng's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hang Seng's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hang Seng Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hang Seng for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hang Seng Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hang Seng Bank has accumulated about 23.36 B in cash with (46.38 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hang Stock
Hang Seng financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hang with respect to the benefits of owning Hang Seng security.