Hesai Group American Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.13

HSAI Stock   13.85  0.62  4.28%   
Hesai Group's future price is the expected price of Hesai Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hesai Group American performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hesai Group Backtesting, Hesai Group Valuation, Hesai Group Correlation, Hesai Group Hype Analysis, Hesai Group Volatility, Hesai Group History as well as Hesai Group Performance.
  
As of now, Hesai Group's Price Book Value Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Hesai Group's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 2.15, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 3.99. Please specify Hesai Group's target price for which you would like Hesai Group odds to be computed.

Hesai Group Target Price Odds to finish below 13.13

The tendency of Hesai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  13.13  or more in 90 days
 13.85 90 days 13.13 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hesai Group to drop to  13.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Hesai Group American probability density function shows the probability of Hesai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hesai Group American price to stay between  13.13  and its current price of 13.85 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Hesai Group American has a beta of -2.34. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Hesai Group American are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Hesai Group is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Hesai Group American has an alpha of 2.2028, implying that it can generate a 2.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hesai Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hesai Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hesai Group American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.3612.6721.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.8813.1922.50
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.4016.9218.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.2-0.130.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hesai Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hesai Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hesai Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hesai Group American.

Hesai Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hesai Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hesai Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hesai Group American, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hesai Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.34
σ
Overall volatility
3.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Hesai Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hesai Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hesai Group American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hesai Group American is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Hesai Group American appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (475.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 471.99 M.
About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hesai Group Stock Price Down 5.25 percent on Dec 27

Hesai Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hesai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hesai Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hesai Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 B

Hesai Group Technical Analysis

Hesai Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hesai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hesai Group American. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hesai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hesai Group Predictive Forecast Models

Hesai Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hesai Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hesai Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hesai Group American

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hesai Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hesai Group American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hesai Group American is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Hesai Group American appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (475.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 471.99 M.
About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hesai Group Stock Price Down 5.25 percent on Dec 27
When determining whether Hesai Group American offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hesai Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hesai Group American Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hesai Group American Stock:
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hesai Group. If investors know Hesai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hesai Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.42)
Revenue Per Share
14.349
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.12)
The market value of Hesai Group American is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hesai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hesai Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hesai Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hesai Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hesai Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hesai Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hesai Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hesai Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.