Hood River International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.52
| HRIIX Fund | 10.82 0.15 1.37% |
Hood |
Hood River Target Price Odds to finish below 12.52
The tendency of Hood Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 12.52 after 90 days |
| 10.82 | 90 days | 12.52 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hood River to stay under 12.52 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hood River International probability density function shows the probability of Hood Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hood River International price to stay between its current price of 10.82 and 12.52 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hood River International has a beta of -0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hood River are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hood River International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hood River International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hood River Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hood River
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hood River International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hood River Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hood River is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hood River's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hood River International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hood River within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Hood River Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hood River for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hood River International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hood River generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Hood River Technical Analysis
Hood River's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hood Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hood River International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hood Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hood River Predictive Forecast Models
Hood River's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hood River's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hood River's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hood River International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hood River for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hood River International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hood River generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in Hood Mutual Fund
Hood River financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hood Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hood with respect to the benefits of owning Hood River security.
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