Heineken Holding Nv Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 69.22

HKHHF Stock  USD 62.02  0.25  0.40%   
Heineken Holding's future price is the expected price of Heineken Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Heineken Holding NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Heineken Holding Backtesting, Heineken Holding Valuation, Heineken Holding Correlation, Heineken Holding Hype Analysis, Heineken Holding Volatility, Heineken Holding History as well as Heineken Holding Performance.
  
Please specify Heineken Holding's target price for which you would like Heineken Holding odds to be computed.

Heineken Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 69.22

The tendency of Heineken OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 69.22  after 90 days
 62.02 90 days 69.22 
about 53.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Heineken Holding to stay under $ 69.22  after 90 days from now is about 53.75 (This Heineken Holding NV probability density function shows the probability of Heineken OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Heineken Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 62.02  and $ 69.22  at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Heineken Holding NV has a beta of -0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Heineken Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Heineken Holding NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Heineken Holding NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Heineken Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Heineken Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heineken Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.2562.0263.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.1854.9568.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.4362.2163.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.2362.0462.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Heineken Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Heineken Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Heineken Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Heineken Holding.

Heineken Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Heineken Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Heineken Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Heineken Holding NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Heineken Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
4.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Heineken Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Heineken Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Heineken Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Heineken Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Heineken Holding NV has accumulated 12.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Heineken Holding has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Heineken Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Heineken Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Heineken Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Heineken to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Heineken Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 65.0% of Heineken Holding shares are held by company insiders

Heineken Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Heineken OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Heineken Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Heineken Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding287.6 M

Heineken Holding Technical Analysis

Heineken Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Heineken OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Heineken Holding NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Heineken OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Heineken Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Heineken Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Heineken Holding's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Heineken Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Heineken Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Heineken Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Heineken Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Heineken Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Heineken Holding NV has accumulated 12.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.77, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Heineken Holding has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Heineken Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Heineken Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Heineken Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Heineken to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Heineken Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 65.0% of Heineken Holding shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Heineken OTC Stock

Heineken Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Heineken OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Heineken with respect to the benefits of owning Heineken Holding security.