Hino Motors Ltd Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 29.96

HINOY Stock  USD 32.03  5.76  21.93%   
Hino Motors' future price is the expected price of Hino Motors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hino Motors Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hino Motors Backtesting, Hino Motors Valuation, Hino Motors Correlation, Hino Motors Hype Analysis, Hino Motors Volatility, Hino Motors History as well as Hino Motors Performance.
  
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Hino Motors Target Price Odds to finish below 29.96

The tendency of Hino Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 29.96  or more in 90 days
 32.03 90 days 29.96 
about 79.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hino Motors to drop to $ 29.96  or more in 90 days from now is about 79.14 (This Hino Motors Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Hino Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hino Motors price to stay between $ 29.96  and its current price of $32.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hino Motors Ltd has a beta of -0.0368. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hino Motors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hino Motors Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hino Motors Ltd has an alpha of 0.1576, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hino Motors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hino Motors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hino Motors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.1732.0334.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.8129.6632.53
Details

Hino Motors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hino Motors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hino Motors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hino Motors Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hino Motors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Hino Motors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hino Motors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hino Motors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hino Motors had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Hino Motors has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.46 T. Net Loss for the year was (84.73 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 250.51 B.

Hino Motors Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hino Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hino Motors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hino Motors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments66.3 B

Hino Motors Technical Analysis

Hino Motors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hino Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hino Motors Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hino Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hino Motors Predictive Forecast Models

Hino Motors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hino Motors' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hino Motors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hino Motors

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hino Motors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hino Motors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hino Motors had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Hino Motors has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.46 T. Net Loss for the year was (84.73 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 250.51 B.

Additional Tools for Hino Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Hino Motors' price analysis, check to measure Hino Motors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hino Motors is operating at the current time. Most of Hino Motors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hino Motors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hino Motors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hino Motors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.