Hartford Financial (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.14
| HFF Stock | 105.00 0.00 0.00% |
Hartford |
Hartford Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 54.14
The tendency of Hartford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 54.14 or more in 90 days |
| 105.00 | 90 days | 54.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hartford Financial to drop to 54.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Hartford Financial probability density function shows the probability of Hartford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of The Hartford Financial price to stay between 54.14 and its current price of 105.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hartford Financial has a beta of 0.94. This usually indicates The Hartford Financial market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hartford Financial is expected to follow. Additionally The Hartford Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hartford Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hartford Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Hartford Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hartford Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hartford Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hartford Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hartford Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Hartford Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hartford Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Hartford Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hartford Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for The Hartford Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Hartford Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hartford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hartford Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hartford Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 315.1 M |
Hartford Financial Technical Analysis
Hartford Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hartford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Hartford Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hartford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hartford Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Hartford Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hartford Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hartford Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about The Hartford Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hartford Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for The Hartford Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Hartford Stock Analysis
When running Hartford Financial's price analysis, check to measure Hartford Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hartford Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Hartford Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hartford Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hartford Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hartford Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.