Les Htels (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.7
| HDP Stock | EUR 1.20 0.05 4.00% |
Les |
Les Htels Target Price Odds to finish below 2.7
The tendency of Les Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 2.70 after 90 days |
| 1.20 | 90 days | 2.70 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Les Htels to stay under € 2.70 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Les Htels de probability density function shows the probability of Les Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Les Htels de price to stay between its current price of € 1.20 and € 2.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Les Htels de has a beta of -0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Les Htels are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Les Htels de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Les Htels de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Les Htels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Les Htels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Les Htels de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Les Htels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Les Htels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Les Htels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Les Htels de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Les Htels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Les Htels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Les Htels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Les Htels de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Les Htels de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Les Htels de has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Les Htels de may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Les Htels de has accumulated 7.84 M in total debt. Les Htels de has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Les Htels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Les Htels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Les Htels de sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Les to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Les Htels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Les Htels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Les Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Les Htels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Les Htels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.6 M |
Les Htels Technical Analysis
Les Htels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Les Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Les Htels de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Les Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Les Htels Predictive Forecast Models
Les Htels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Les Htels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Les Htels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Les Htels de
Checking the ongoing alerts about Les Htels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Les Htels de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Les Htels de generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Les Htels de has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Les Htels de may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Les Htels de has accumulated 7.84 M in total debt. Les Htels de has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Les Htels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Les Htels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Les Htels de sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Les to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Les Htels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Les Stock
Les Htels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Les Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Les with respect to the benefits of owning Les Htels security.