Hastings Rare (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.35
| HAS Stock | 0.33 0.01 3.13% |
Hastings |
Hastings Rare Target Price Odds to finish over 4.35
The tendency of Hastings Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.35 or more in 90 days |
| 0.33 | 90 days | 4.35 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hastings Rare to move over 4.35 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Hastings Rare Metals probability density function shows the probability of Hastings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hastings Rare Metals price to stay between its current price of 0.33 and 4.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hastings Rare has a beta of 0.36. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hastings Rare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hastings Rare Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hastings Rare Metals has an alpha of 0.2737, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hastings Rare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hastings Rare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hastings Rare Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hastings Rare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hastings Rare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hastings Rare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hastings Rare Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hastings Rare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Hastings Rare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hastings Rare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hastings Rare Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hastings Rare Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hastings Rare Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Hastings Rare Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 647.91 K. Net Loss for the year was (33.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 175.91 K. | |
| Hastings Rare Metals has accumulated about 72 M in cash with (5.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Hastings Rare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hastings Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hastings Rare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hastings Rare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.9 M |
Hastings Rare Technical Analysis
Hastings Rare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hastings Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hastings Rare Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hastings Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hastings Rare Predictive Forecast Models
Hastings Rare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hastings Rare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hastings Rare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hastings Rare Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hastings Rare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hastings Rare Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hastings Rare Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hastings Rare Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Hastings Rare Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 647.91 K. Net Loss for the year was (33.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 175.91 K. | |
| Hastings Rare Metals has accumulated about 72 M in cash with (5.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Hastings Stock Analysis
When running Hastings Rare's price analysis, check to measure Hastings Rare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hastings Rare is operating at the current time. Most of Hastings Rare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hastings Rare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hastings Rare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hastings Rare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.