Hansa Trust (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 227.04

HAN Stock   226.00  2.00  0.88%   
Hansa Trust's future price is the expected price of Hansa Trust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hansa Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hansa Trust Backtesting, Hansa Trust Valuation, Hansa Trust Correlation, Hansa Trust Hype Analysis, Hansa Trust Volatility, Hansa Trust History as well as Hansa Trust Performance.
  
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Hansa Trust Target Price Odds to finish over 227.04

The tendency of Hansa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  227.04  or more in 90 days
 226.00 90 days 227.04 
about 71.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hansa Trust to move over  227.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.09 (This Hansa Trust probability density function shows the probability of Hansa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hansa Trust price to stay between its current price of  226.00  and  227.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hansa Trust has a beta of -0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hansa Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hansa Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hansa Trust has an alpha of 0.0071, implying that it can generate a 0.007066 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hansa Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hansa Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hansa Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
224.96226.00227.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
190.53191.57248.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
220.14221.18222.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
225.18234.37243.57
Details

Hansa Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hansa Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hansa Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hansa Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hansa Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
5.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Hansa Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hansa Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hansa Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hansa Trust is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Hansa Trust generates negative cash flow from operations
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 29th of November 2024 Hansa Trust paid 0.008 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Hansa Trust Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hansa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hansa Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hansa Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120 M
Dividends Paid3.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.4 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.03

Hansa Trust Technical Analysis

Hansa Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hansa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hansa Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hansa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hansa Trust Predictive Forecast Models

Hansa Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hansa Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hansa Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hansa Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hansa Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hansa Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hansa Trust is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Hansa Trust generates negative cash flow from operations
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 29th of November 2024 Hansa Trust paid 0.008 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Other Information on Investing in Hansa Stock

Hansa Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hansa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hansa with respect to the benefits of owning Hansa Trust security.