Yuexiu Transport (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.47

GZ3 Stock  EUR 0.45  0.01  2.27%   
Yuexiu Transport's future price is the expected price of Yuexiu Transport instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yuexiu Transport Backtesting, Yuexiu Transport Valuation, Yuexiu Transport Correlation, Yuexiu Transport Hype Analysis, Yuexiu Transport Volatility, Yuexiu Transport History as well as Yuexiu Transport Performance.
  
Please specify Yuexiu Transport's target price for which you would like Yuexiu Transport odds to be computed.

Yuexiu Transport Target Price Odds to finish over 0.47

The tendency of Yuexiu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.47  or more in 90 days
 0.45 90 days 0.47 
about 6.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yuexiu Transport to move over € 0.47  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.49 (This Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure probability density function shows the probability of Yuexiu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yuexiu Transport Inf price to stay between its current price of € 0.45  and € 0.47  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure has a beta of -0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yuexiu Transport are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure has an alpha of 0.6684, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yuexiu Transport Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yuexiu Transport

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuexiu Transport Inf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.455.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.355.29
Details

Yuexiu Transport Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yuexiu Transport is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yuexiu Transport's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yuexiu Transport within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Yuexiu Transport Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yuexiu Transport for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yuexiu Transport Inf can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yuexiu Transport Inf has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Yuexiu Transport Inf appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has €13.22 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Yuexiu Transport Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yuexiu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yuexiu Transport's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yuexiu Transport's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B

Yuexiu Transport Technical Analysis

Yuexiu Transport's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yuexiu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yuexiu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yuexiu Transport Predictive Forecast Models

Yuexiu Transport's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yuexiu Transport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yuexiu Transport's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yuexiu Transport Inf

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yuexiu Transport for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yuexiu Transport Inf help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yuexiu Transport Inf has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Yuexiu Transport Inf appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has €13.22 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Yuexiu Stock

Yuexiu Transport financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yuexiu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yuexiu with respect to the benefits of owning Yuexiu Transport security.