Gxo Logistics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.54
| GXO Stock | USD 41.96 0.80 1.87% |
GXO |
GXO Logistics Target Price Odds to finish below 37.54
The tendency of GXO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.54 or more in 90 days |
| 41.96 | 90 days | 37.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GXO Logistics to drop to $ 37.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GXO Logistics probability density function shows the probability of GXO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GXO Logistics price to stay between $ 37.54 and its current price of $41.96 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This usually indicates GXO Logistics market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GXO Logistics is expected to follow. Additionally GXO Logistics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GXO Logistics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GXO Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GXO Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GXO Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GXO Logistics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GXO Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GXO Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GXO Logistics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GXO Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
GXO Logistics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GXO Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GXO Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GXO Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GXO Logistics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GXO Logistics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| GXO Logistics has 4.09 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.54, which is OK given its current industry classification. GXO Logistics has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for GXO to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 95.0% of GXO Logistics shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: GXO Logistics, Inc.s Stock Retreats 27 percent But Earnings Havent Escaped The Attention Of Investors |
GXO Logistics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GXO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GXO Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GXO Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 468 M |
GXO Logistics Technical Analysis
GXO Logistics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GXO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GXO Logistics. In general, you should focus on analyzing GXO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GXO Logistics Predictive Forecast Models
GXO Logistics' time-series forecasting models is one of many GXO Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GXO Logistics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GXO Logistics
Checking the ongoing alerts about GXO Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GXO Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GXO Logistics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GXO Logistics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GXO Logistics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| GXO Logistics has 4.09 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.54, which is OK given its current industry classification. GXO Logistics has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for GXO to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 95.0% of GXO Logistics shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: GXO Logistics, Inc.s Stock Retreats 27 percent But Earnings Havent Escaped The Attention Of Investors |
Check out GXO Logistics Backtesting, GXO Logistics Valuation, GXO Logistics Correlation, GXO Logistics Hype Analysis, GXO Logistics Volatility, GXO Logistics History as well as GXO Logistics Performance. To learn how to invest in GXO Stock, please use our How to Invest in GXO Logistics guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GXO Logistics. If investors know GXO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GXO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Earnings Share 0.89 | Revenue Per Share 92.626 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.278 | Return On Assets 0.0223 |
The market value of GXO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GXO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GXO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GXO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GXO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GXO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GXO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GXO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GXO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.