Gulf Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.21
| GURE Stock | USD 0.62 0.01 1.64% |
Gulf |
Gulf Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 18.21
The tendency of Gulf Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 18.21 or more in 90 days |
| 0.62 | 90 days | 18.21 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gulf Resources to move over $ 18.21 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gulf Resources probability density function shows the probability of Gulf Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gulf Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.62 and $ 18.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gulf Resources has a beta of 0.55. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gulf Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gulf Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gulf Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gulf Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gulf Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gulf Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gulf Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gulf Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gulf Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gulf Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Gulf Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gulf Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gulf Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gulf Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gulf Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Gulf Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.48 M. | |
| Gulf Resources currently holds about 92.64 M in cash with (32.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Gulf Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Gulf Resources Stock Plummets Amidst Financial Struggles |
Gulf Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gulf Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gulf Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.4 M |
Gulf Resources Technical Analysis
Gulf Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gulf Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gulf Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gulf Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gulf Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Gulf Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gulf Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gulf Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gulf Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gulf Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gulf Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gulf Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gulf Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Gulf Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.48 M. | |
| Gulf Resources currently holds about 92.64 M in cash with (32.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.85, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Gulf Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Gulf Resources Stock Plummets Amidst Financial Struggles |
Check out Gulf Resources Backtesting, Gulf Resources Valuation, Gulf Resources Correlation, Gulf Resources Hype Analysis, Gulf Resources Volatility, Gulf Resources History as well as Gulf Resources Performance. For information on how to trade Gulf Stock refer to our How to Trade Gulf Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gulf Resources. If investors know Gulf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gulf Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.662 | Earnings Share (9.26) | Revenue Per Share 1.552 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.70) | Return On Assets (0.13) |
The market value of Gulf Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gulf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gulf Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gulf Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gulf Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gulf Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gulf Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gulf Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gulf Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.