Gratifii (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.64

GTI Stock   0.11  0.00  0.00%   
Gratifii's future price is the expected price of Gratifii instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gratifii performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gratifii Backtesting, Gratifii Valuation, Gratifii Correlation, Gratifii Hype Analysis, Gratifii Volatility, Gratifii History as well as Gratifii Performance.
  
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Gratifii Target Price Odds to finish over 41.64

The tendency of Gratifii Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  41.64  or more in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 41.64 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gratifii to move over  41.64  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gratifii probability density function shows the probability of Gratifii Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gratifii price to stay between its current price of  0.11  and  41.64  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.09 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gratifii will likely underperform. Moreover Gratifii has an alpha of 1.4158, implying that it can generate a 1.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gratifii Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gratifii

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gratifii. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0913.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0913.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1113.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Gratifii Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gratifii is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gratifii's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gratifii, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gratifii within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Gratifii Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gratifii for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gratifii can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gratifii is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Gratifii has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gratifii appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Gratifii has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 29.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.03 M.
Gratifii has accumulated about 1.69 M in cash with (653.47 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gratifii Ltd Announces Security Consolidation - TipRanks

Gratifii Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gratifii Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gratifii's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gratifii's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments324.1 K

Gratifii Technical Analysis

Gratifii's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gratifii Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gratifii. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gratifii Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gratifii Predictive Forecast Models

Gratifii's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gratifii's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gratifii's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gratifii

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gratifii for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gratifii help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gratifii is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Gratifii has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gratifii appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Gratifii has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 29.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.03 M.
Gratifii has accumulated about 1.69 M in cash with (653.47 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Gratifii Ltd Announces Security Consolidation - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Gratifii Stock Analysis

When running Gratifii's price analysis, check to measure Gratifii's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gratifii is operating at the current time. Most of Gratifii's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gratifii's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gratifii's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gratifii to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.