Office Properties (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.11
| GOKA Stock | EUR 1.30 0.05 3.70% |
Office |
Office Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 1.11
The tendency of Office Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.11 or more in 90 days |
| 1.30 | 90 days | 1.11 | about 10.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Office Properties to drop to € 1.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.52 (This Office Properties Income probability density function shows the probability of Office Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Office Properties Income price to stay between € 1.11 and its current price of €1.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.78 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Office Properties will likely underperform. Additionally Office Properties Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Office Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Office Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Office Properties Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Office Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Office Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Office Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Office Properties Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Office Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Office Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Office Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Office Properties Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Office Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Office Properties has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Office Properties may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Office Properties has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 554.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 469.43 M. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Office Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Office Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Office Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Office Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.6 M |
Office Properties Technical Analysis
Office Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Office Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Office Properties Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Office Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Office Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Office Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Office Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Office Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Office Properties Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Office Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Office Properties Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Office Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Office Properties has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Office Properties may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Office Properties has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 554.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 469.43 M. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Office Stock
When determining whether Office Properties Income is a strong investment it is important to analyze Office Properties' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Office Properties' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Office Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Office Properties Backtesting, Office Properties Valuation, Office Properties Correlation, Office Properties Hype Analysis, Office Properties Volatility, Office Properties History as well as Office Properties Performance. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.