Goodtech (Norway) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.27

GOD Stock  NOK 10.20  0.15  1.49%   
Goodtech's future price is the expected price of Goodtech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Goodtech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Goodtech Backtesting, Goodtech Valuation, Goodtech Correlation, Goodtech Hype Analysis, Goodtech Volatility, Goodtech History as well as Goodtech Performance.
  
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Goodtech Target Price Odds to finish below 2.27

The tendency of Goodtech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2.27  or more in 90 days
 10.20 90 days 2.27 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Goodtech to drop to  2.27  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Goodtech probability density function shows the probability of Goodtech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Goodtech price to stay between  2.27  and its current price of 10.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Goodtech has a beta of 0.0242. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Goodtech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Goodtech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Goodtech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Goodtech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Goodtech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodtech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.9710.2012.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.418.6410.87
Details

Goodtech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Goodtech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Goodtech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Goodtech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Goodtech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Goodtech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Goodtech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Goodtech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goodtech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 536.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 334.87 M.
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Goodtech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Goodtech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Goodtech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goodtech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments79.3 M

Goodtech Technical Analysis

Goodtech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Goodtech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Goodtech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Goodtech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Goodtech Predictive Forecast Models

Goodtech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Goodtech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Goodtech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Goodtech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Goodtech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Goodtech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goodtech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 536.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 334.87 M.
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Goodtech Stock

Goodtech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goodtech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goodtech with respect to the benefits of owning Goodtech security.