Great Northern (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.035
| GNM Stock | 0.01 0 7.14% |
Great |
Great Northern Target Price Odds to finish over 0.035
The tendency of Great Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.04 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great Northern to move over 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Great Northern Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Great Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great Northern Minerals price to stay between its current price of 0.01 and 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Great Northern has a beta of 0.42. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Great Northern average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Great Northern Minerals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Great Northern Minerals has an alpha of 0.0, implying that it can generate a 3.9E-5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Great Northern Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Great Northern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Northern Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Great Northern Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great Northern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great Northern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great Northern Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great Northern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.000039 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0026 |
Great Northern Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great Northern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great Northern Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Great Northern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Great Northern had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Great Northern has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 67.91 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.4 K. | |
| Great Northern Minerals has accumulated about 1.23 M in cash with (1.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Great Northern Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great Northern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Northern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 154.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.2 K |
Great Northern Technical Analysis
Great Northern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great Northern Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Great Northern Predictive Forecast Models
Great Northern's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great Northern's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great Northern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Great Northern Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Great Northern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great Northern Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Great Northern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Great Northern had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Great Northern has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 67.91 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.4 K. | |
| Great Northern Minerals has accumulated about 1.23 M in cash with (1.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Great Stock Analysis
When running Great Northern's price analysis, check to measure Great Northern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great Northern is operating at the current time. Most of Great Northern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great Northern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great Northern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great Northern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.