Gourmet Provisions International Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 8.6E-5
| GMPR Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Gourmet |
Gourmet Provisions Target Price Odds to finish below 8.6E-5
The tendency of Gourmet Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.000086 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.000086 | about 17.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gourmet Provisions to drop to $ 0.000086 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.45 (This Gourmet Provisions International probability density function shows the probability of Gourmet Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gourmet Provisions price to stay between $ 0.000086 and its current price of $1.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gourmet Provisions International has a beta of -0.0248. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gourmet Provisions are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gourmet Provisions International is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Gourmet Provisions International has an alpha of 5.2959, implying that it can generate a 5.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gourmet Provisions Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Gourmet Provisions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gourmet Provisions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gourmet Provisions Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gourmet Provisions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gourmet Provisions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gourmet Provisions International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gourmet Provisions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000046 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Gourmet Provisions Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gourmet Provisions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gourmet Provisions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gourmet Provisions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Gourmet Provisions has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Gourmet Provisions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Gourmet Provisions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Gourmet Provisions International currently holds 840.43 M in liabilities. Gourmet Provisions has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Gourmet Provisions until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gourmet Provisions' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gourmet Provisions sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gourmet to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gourmet Provisions' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (568.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B. | |
| Gourmet Provisions International currently holds about 219.29 M in cash with (183.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Gourmet Provisions Technical Analysis
Gourmet Provisions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gourmet Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gourmet Provisions International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gourmet Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gourmet Provisions Predictive Forecast Models
Gourmet Provisions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gourmet Provisions' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gourmet Provisions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gourmet Provisions
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gourmet Provisions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gourmet Provisions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gourmet Provisions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Gourmet Provisions has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Gourmet Provisions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Gourmet Provisions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Gourmet Provisions International currently holds 840.43 M in liabilities. Gourmet Provisions has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Gourmet Provisions until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gourmet Provisions' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gourmet Provisions sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gourmet to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gourmet Provisions' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (568.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B. | |
| Gourmet Provisions International currently holds about 219.29 M in cash with (183.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Gourmet Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Gourmet Provisions' price analysis, check to measure Gourmet Provisions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gourmet Provisions is operating at the current time. Most of Gourmet Provisions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gourmet Provisions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gourmet Provisions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gourmet Provisions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.