Medium Duration Bond Institutional Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.84
| GMDYX Fund | USD 12.62 0.05 0.39% |
Medium |
Medium Duration Target Price Odds to finish below 12.84
The tendency of Medium Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 12.84 after 90 days |
| 12.62 | 90 days | 12.84 | about 51.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Medium Duration to stay under $ 12.84 after 90 days from now is about 51.78 (This Medium Duration Bond Institutional probability density function shows the probability of Medium Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Medium Duration Bond price to stay between its current price of $ 12.62 and $ 12.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Medium Duration has a beta of 0.0385. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Medium Duration average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Medium Duration Bond Institutional will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Medium Duration Bond Institutional has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Medium Duration Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Medium Duration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medium Duration Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Medium Duration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Medium Duration Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Medium Duration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Medium Duration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Medium Duration Bond Institutional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Medium Duration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.48 |
Medium Duration Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Medium Duration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Medium Duration Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Medium Duration Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Medium Duration Bond generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund retains about 32.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Medium Duration Technical Analysis
Medium Duration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Medium Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Medium Duration Bond Institutional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Medium Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Medium Duration Predictive Forecast Models
Medium Duration's time-series forecasting models is one of many Medium Duration's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Medium Duration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Medium Duration Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Medium Duration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Medium Duration Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Medium Duration Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Medium Duration Bond generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund retains about 32.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Medium Mutual Fund
Medium Duration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Medium Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Medium with respect to the benefits of owning Medium Duration security.
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