General Insurance (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 334.64

GICRE Stock   501.00  58.55  13.23%   
General Insurance's future price is the expected price of General Insurance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of General Insurance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out General Insurance Backtesting, General Insurance Valuation, General Insurance Correlation, General Insurance Hype Analysis, General Insurance Volatility, General Insurance History as well as General Insurance Performance.
  
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General Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over 334.64

The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  334.64  in 90 days
 501.00 90 days 334.64 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Insurance to stay above  334.64  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This General Insurance probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Insurance price to stay between  334.64  and its current price of 501.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, General Insurance will likely underperform. Additionally General Insurance has an alpha of 0.3574, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   General Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for General Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
499.30501.94504.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
450.90546.53549.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
495.10497.74500.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.177.507.83
Details

General Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.20
σ
Overall volatility
27.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

General Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

General Insurance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments260.1 B

General Insurance Technical Analysis

General Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

General Insurance Predictive Forecast Models

General Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many General Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about General Insurance

Checking the ongoing alerts about General Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in General Stock

General Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether General Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in General with respect to the benefits of owning General Insurance security.