GIBB River (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.04
| GIB Stock | 0.04 0 5.26% |
GIBB |
GIBB River Target Price Odds to finish over 0.04
The tendency of GIBB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 26.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GIBB River to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.45 (This GIBB River Diamonds probability density function shows the probability of GIBB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GIBB River has a beta of 0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GIBB River average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GIBB River Diamonds will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GIBB River Diamonds has an alpha of 0.1599, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GIBB River Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GIBB River
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GIBB River Diamonds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GIBB River Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GIBB River is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GIBB River's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GIBB River Diamonds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GIBB River within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
GIBB River Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GIBB River for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GIBB River Diamonds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GIBB River Diamonds had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GIBB River Diamonds has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GIBB River Diamonds has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 67.92 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.21 M. | |
| GIBB River Diamonds has accumulated about 759.03 K in cash with (1.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
GIBB River Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GIBB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GIBB River's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GIBB River's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 211.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 M |
GIBB River Technical Analysis
GIBB River's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GIBB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GIBB River Diamonds. In general, you should focus on analyzing GIBB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GIBB River Predictive Forecast Models
GIBB River's time-series forecasting models is one of many GIBB River's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GIBB River's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GIBB River Diamonds
Checking the ongoing alerts about GIBB River for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GIBB River Diamonds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GIBB River Diamonds had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GIBB River Diamonds has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GIBB River Diamonds has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 67.92 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.21 M. | |
| GIBB River Diamonds has accumulated about 759.03 K in cash with (1.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for GIBB Stock Analysis
When running GIBB River's price analysis, check to measure GIBB River's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GIBB River is operating at the current time. Most of GIBB River's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GIBB River's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GIBB River's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GIBB River to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.