Geospace Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.84
| GEOS Stock | USD 9.70 0.53 5.18% |
Geospace |
Geospace Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 10.84
The tendency of Geospace Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 10.84 after 90 days |
| 9.70 | 90 days | 10.84 | about 38.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Geospace Technologies to stay under $ 10.84 after 90 days from now is about 38.71 (This Geospace Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Geospace Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Geospace Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 9.70 and $ 10.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.97 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Geospace Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Geospace Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Geospace Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Geospace Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geospace Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Geospace Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geospace Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geospace Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geospace Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geospace Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Geospace Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geospace Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geospace Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geospace Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Geospace Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 135.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.44 M. | |
| Geospace Technologies currently holds about 9.07 M in cash with (9.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.7. | |
| Geospace Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Geospace Technologies Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher |
Geospace Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Geospace Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Geospace Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Geospace Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.1 M |
Geospace Technologies Technical Analysis
Geospace Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Geospace Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Geospace Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Geospace Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Geospace Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Geospace Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Geospace Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Geospace Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Geospace Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Geospace Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Geospace Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Geospace Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Geospace Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 135.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.44 M. | |
| Geospace Technologies currently holds about 9.07 M in cash with (9.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.7. | |
| Geospace Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Geospace Technologies Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher |
Additional Tools for Geospace Stock Analysis
When running Geospace Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Geospace Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Geospace Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Geospace Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Geospace Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Geospace Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Geospace Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.