Gecch Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.40
| GECCH Stock | 24.85 0.13 0.53% |
GECCH |
GECCH Target Price Odds to finish below 23.40
The tendency of GECCH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.40 or more in 90 days |
| 24.85 | 90 days | 23.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GECCH to drop to 23.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GECCH probability density function shows the probability of GECCH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GECCH price to stay between 23.40 and its current price of 24.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GECCH has a beta of 0.003. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GECCH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GECCH will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GECCH has an alpha of 0.0281, implying that it can generate a 0.0281 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GECCH Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GECCH
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GECCH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GECCH's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GECCH Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GECCH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GECCH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GECCH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GECCH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
GECCH Technical Analysis
GECCH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GECCH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GECCH. In general, you should focus on analyzing GECCH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GECCH Predictive Forecast Models
GECCH's time-series forecasting models is one of many GECCH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GECCH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards GECCH in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, GECCH's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from GECCH options trading.
Check out GECCH Backtesting, GECCH Valuation, GECCH Correlation, GECCH Hype Analysis, GECCH Volatility, GECCH History as well as GECCH Performance. For more detail on how to invest in GECCH Stock please use our How to Invest in GECCH guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Business Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GECCH. If investors know GECCH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GECCH listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of GECCH is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GECCH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GECCH's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GECCH's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GECCH's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GECCH's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GECCH's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GECCH is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GECCH's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.