Goodness Growth Holdings Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 20.78

GDNSF Stock  USD 0.32  0.01  3.03%   
Goodness Growth's future price is the expected price of Goodness Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Goodness Growth Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Goodness Growth Backtesting, Goodness Growth Valuation, Goodness Growth Correlation, Goodness Growth Hype Analysis, Goodness Growth Volatility, Goodness Growth History as well as Goodness Growth Performance.
  
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Goodness Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 20.78

The tendency of Goodness OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.78  or more in 90 days
 0.32 90 days 20.78 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Goodness Growth to move over $ 20.78  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Goodness Growth Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Goodness OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Goodness Growth Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.32  and $ 20.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Goodness Growth Holdings has a beta of -1.21. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Goodness Growth Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Goodness Growth is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Goodness Growth Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Goodness Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Goodness Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodness Growth Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goodness Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.327.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.317.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.337.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.310.350.38
Details

Goodness Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Goodness Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Goodness Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Goodness Growth Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Goodness Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Goodness Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Goodness Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Goodness Growth Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goodness Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Goodness Growth has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Goodness Growth has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Goodness Growth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 54.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.8 M.
Goodness Growth Holdings has accumulated about 16.97 M in cash with (30.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.

Goodness Growth Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Goodness OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Goodness Growth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goodness Growth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.2 M

Goodness Growth Technical Analysis

Goodness Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Goodness OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Goodness Growth Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Goodness OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Goodness Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Goodness Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Goodness Growth's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Goodness Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Goodness Growth Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Goodness Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Goodness Growth Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goodness Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Goodness Growth has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Goodness Growth has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Goodness Growth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 54.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.8 M.
Goodness Growth Holdings has accumulated about 16.97 M in cash with (30.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13.

Other Information on Investing in Goodness OTC Stock

Goodness Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goodness OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goodness with respect to the benefits of owning Goodness Growth security.