Gabelli Convertible And Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 3.91
| GCV Fund | USD 3.90 0.10 2.63% |
Gabelli |
Gabelli Convertible Target Price Odds to finish over 3.91
The tendency of Gabelli Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.91 or more in 90 days |
| 3.90 | 90 days | 3.91 | about 9.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gabelli Convertible to move over $ 3.91 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.93 (This Gabelli Convertible And probability density function shows the probability of Gabelli Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gabelli Convertible And price to stay between its current price of $ 3.90 and $ 3.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.3 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Gabelli Convertible has a beta of 0.41. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gabelli Convertible average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gabelli Convertible And will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gabelli Convertible And has an alpha of 0.0537, implying that it can generate a 0.0537 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gabelli Convertible Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gabelli Convertible
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Convertible And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gabelli Convertible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gabelli Convertible Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gabelli Convertible is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gabelli Convertible's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gabelli Convertible And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gabelli Convertible within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Gabelli Convertible Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gabelli Convertible for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gabelli Convertible And can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Gabelli Convertible and Income Securities Fund Shares Down 1.1 percent - Time to Sell - MarketBeat | |
| The fund generated three year return of -4.0% |
Gabelli Convertible Technical Analysis
Gabelli Convertible's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gabelli Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gabelli Convertible And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gabelli Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gabelli Convertible Predictive Forecast Models
Gabelli Convertible's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gabelli Convertible's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gabelli Convertible's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gabelli Convertible And
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabelli Convertible for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gabelli Convertible And help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Gabelli Convertible and Income Securities Fund Shares Down 1.1 percent - Time to Sell - MarketBeat | |
| The fund generated three year return of -4.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Fund
Gabelli Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Convertible security.
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| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk |