Global Business Travel Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.54
| GBTG Stock | USD 9.28 0.07 0.75% |
Global |
Global Business Target Price Odds to finish over 15.54
The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 15.54 or more in 90 days |
| 9.28 | 90 days | 15.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Business to move over $ 15.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Global Business Travel probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Business Travel price to stay between its current price of $ 9.28 and $ 15.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Global Business Travel has a beta of -0.19. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Global Business are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Global Business Travel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Global Business Travel has an alpha of 0.2944, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Global Business Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Global Business
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Business Travel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Business Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Business Travel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Global Business Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Business Travel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.02 B. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Global Business Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 458.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 476 M |
Global Business Technical Analysis
Global Business' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Business Travel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Global Business Predictive Forecast Models
Global Business' time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Business' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Business' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.