Glacier Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.56
| GBCI Stock | USD 50.45 0.90 1.82% |
Glacier |
Glacier Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 41.56
The tendency of Glacier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 41.56 or more in 90 days |
| 50.45 | 90 days | 41.56 | roughly 2.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Glacier Bancorp to drop to $ 41.56 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.75 (This Glacier Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Glacier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Glacier Bancorp price to stay between $ 41.56 and its current price of $50.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.51 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.14 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Glacier Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Glacier Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0821, implying that it can generate a 0.0821 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Glacier Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Glacier Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Glacier Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Glacier Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Glacier Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Glacier Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Glacier Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Glacier Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Glacier Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Glacier Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Glacier Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Glacier Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Glacier Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: 5 Low-Beta High-Yielding Stocks to Buy Amid Fed-Induced Volatility |
Glacier Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Glacier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Glacier Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Glacier Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 110.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Glacier Bancorp Technical Analysis
Glacier Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Glacier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Glacier Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Glacier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Glacier Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Glacier Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Glacier Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Glacier Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Glacier Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Glacier Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Glacier Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Glacier Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: 5 Low-Beta High-Yielding Stocks to Buy Amid Fed-Induced Volatility |
Check out Glacier Bancorp Backtesting, Glacier Bancorp Valuation, Glacier Bancorp Correlation, Glacier Bancorp Hype Analysis, Glacier Bancorp Volatility, Glacier Bancorp History as well as Glacier Bancorp Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Glacier Stock please use our How to Invest in Glacier Bancorp guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Glacier Bancorp. If investors know Glacier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Glacier Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 1.32 | Earnings Share 1.62 | Revenue Per Share 6.934 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 |
The market value of Glacier Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Glacier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Glacier Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Glacier Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Glacier Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Glacier Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Glacier Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Glacier Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Glacier Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.