General American Investors Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 26.25
| GAM-PB Preferred Stock | USD 25.00 0.06 0.24% |
General |
General American Target Price Odds to finish over 26.25
The tendency of General Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 26.25 or more in 90 days |
| 25.00 | 90 days | 26.25 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General American to move over $ 26.25 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This General American Investors probability density function shows the probability of General Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General American Inv price to stay between its current price of $ 25.00 and $ 26.25 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon General American Investors has a beta of -0.0066. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding General American are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, General American Investors is likely to outperform the market. Additionally General American Investors has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. General American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for General American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General American Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.General American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General American Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0066 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
General American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General American Inv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| General American Inv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| General American Inv has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| General American Investors has accumulated 3.78 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. General American Inv has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist General American until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, General American's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like General American Inv sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about General American's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
General American Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.4 M | |
| Shares Float | 22.8 M |
General American Technical Analysis
General American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General American Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
General American Predictive Forecast Models
General American's time-series forecasting models is one of many General American's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about General American Inv
Checking the ongoing alerts about General American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General American Inv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| General American Inv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| General American Inv has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| General American Investors has accumulated 3.78 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. General American Inv has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist General American until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, General American's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like General American Inv sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about General American's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in General Preferred Stock
General American financial ratios help investors to determine whether General Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in General with respect to the benefits of owning General American security.