Gladstone Investment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.76
| GAINZ Stock | USD 23.42 0.07 0.30% |
Gladstone |
Gladstone Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 22.76
The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 22.76 or more in 90 days |
| 23.42 | 90 days | 22.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Investment to drop to $ 22.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gladstone Investment probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Investment price to stay between $ 22.76 and its current price of $23.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gladstone Investment has a beta of 0.0617. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gladstone Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gladstone Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gladstone Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gladstone Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gladstone Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gladstone Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Gladstone Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gladstone Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gladstone Investment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Gladstone Investment paid $ 0.3047 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gladstone Investment Corporation Prices Public Offering of 7.875 percent Notes due 2030 - Yahoo Finance |
Gladstone Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Short Prior Month | 11.1 K |
Gladstone Investment Technical Analysis
Gladstone Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gladstone Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Gladstone Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gladstone Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gladstone Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gladstone Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gladstone Investment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 Gladstone Investment paid $ 0.3047 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gladstone Investment Corporation Prices Public Offering of 7.875 percent Notes due 2030 - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Gladstone Stock Analysis
When running Gladstone Investment's price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.