Gladstone Investment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.01
| GAINN Stock | USD 24.60 0.08 0.32% |
Gladstone |
Gladstone Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 22.01
The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 22.01 or more in 90 days |
| 24.60 | 90 days | 22.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Investment to drop to $ 22.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gladstone Investment probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Investment price to stay between $ 22.01 and its current price of $24.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gladstone Investment has a beta of 0.0308. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gladstone Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gladstone Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gladstone Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gladstone Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gladstone Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gladstone Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0021 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Gladstone Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has $243.81 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Gladstone Investment has accumulated 243.81 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 64.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Gladstone Investment has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Gladstone Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Gladstone Investment has accumulated about 2.08 M in cash with (44.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Gladstone Investment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Gladstone Investment Corporation Acquires Nielsen-Kellerman |
Gladstone Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0449 | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 6466 |
Gladstone Investment Technical Analysis
Gladstone Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gladstone Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Gladstone Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gladstone Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gladstone Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has $243.81 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Gladstone Investment has accumulated 243.81 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 64.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Gladstone Investment has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Gladstone Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Gladstone Investment has accumulated about 2.08 M in cash with (44.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Gladstone Investment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Gladstone Investment Corporation Acquires Nielsen-Kellerman |
Check out Gladstone Investment Backtesting, Gladstone Investment Valuation, Gladstone Investment Correlation, Gladstone Investment Hype Analysis, Gladstone Investment Volatility, Gladstone Investment History as well as Gladstone Investment Performance. To learn how to invest in Gladstone Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gladstone Investment guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Investment. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Gladstone Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.