Techcom Vietnam (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5694.87

FUCVREIT   5,550  150.00  2.63%   
Techcom Vietnam's future price is the expected price of Techcom Vietnam instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Techcom Vietnam REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Techcom Vietnam Backtesting, Techcom Vietnam Valuation, Techcom Vietnam Correlation, Techcom Vietnam Hype Analysis, Techcom Vietnam Volatility, Techcom Vietnam History as well as Techcom Vietnam Performance.
  
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Techcom Vietnam Target Price Odds to finish over 5694.87

The tendency of Techcom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5,695  or more in 90 days
 5,550 90 days 5,695 
about 68.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Techcom Vietnam to move over  5,695  or more in 90 days from now is about 68.7 (This Techcom Vietnam REIT probability density function shows the probability of Techcom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Techcom Vietnam REIT price to stay between its current price of  5,550  and  5,695  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Techcom Vietnam has a beta of 0.49. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Techcom Vietnam average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Techcom Vietnam REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Techcom Vietnam REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Techcom Vietnam Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Techcom Vietnam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Techcom Vietnam REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,5475,5505,553
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,8584,8626,105
Details

Techcom Vietnam Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Techcom Vietnam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Techcom Vietnam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Techcom Vietnam REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Techcom Vietnam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0014
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
356.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Techcom Vietnam Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Techcom Vietnam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Techcom Vietnam REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Techcom Vietnam REIT had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Techcom Vietnam Technical Analysis

Techcom Vietnam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Techcom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Techcom Vietnam REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Techcom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Techcom Vietnam Predictive Forecast Models

Techcom Vietnam's time-series forecasting models is one of many Techcom Vietnam's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Techcom Vietnam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Techcom Vietnam REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about Techcom Vietnam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Techcom Vietnam REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Techcom Vietnam REIT had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Techcom Stock

Techcom Vietnam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Techcom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Techcom with respect to the benefits of owning Techcom Vietnam security.