Ftc Solar Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.2
| FTCI Stock | USD 3.11 0.11 3.67% |
FTC |
FTC Solar Target Price Odds to finish below 25.2
The tendency of FTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 25.20 after 90 days |
| 3.11 | 90 days | 25.20 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FTC Solar to stay under $ 25.20 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FTC Solar probability density function shows the probability of FTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FTC Solar price to stay between its current price of $ 3.11 and $ 25.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.71 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FTC Solar has a beta of 0.79. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FTC Solar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FTC Solar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FTC Solar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FTC Solar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FTC Solar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FTC Solar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FTC Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FTC Solar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FTC Solar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FTC Solar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FTC Solar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FTC Solar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
FTC Solar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FTC Solar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FTC Solar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FTC Solar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FTC Solar has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 127 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.29 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (27.08 M). | |
| FTC Solar currently holds about 49.82 M in cash with (52.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48. | |
| FTC Solar has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Yann Brandt Purchases 31,450 Shares of FTC Solar, Inc. Stock |
FTC Solar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FTC Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FTC Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.2 M |
FTC Solar Technical Analysis
FTC Solar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FTC Solar. In general, you should focus on analyzing FTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FTC Solar Predictive Forecast Models
FTC Solar's time-series forecasting models is one of many FTC Solar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FTC Solar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FTC Solar
Checking the ongoing alerts about FTC Solar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FTC Solar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FTC Solar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FTC Solar has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 127 M. Net Loss for the year was (50.29 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (27.08 M). | |
| FTC Solar currently holds about 49.82 M in cash with (52.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48. | |
| FTC Solar has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Yann Brandt Purchases 31,450 Shares of FTC Solar, Inc. Stock |
Check out FTC Solar Backtesting, FTC Solar Valuation, FTC Solar Correlation, FTC Solar Hype Analysis, FTC Solar Volatility, FTC Solar History as well as FTC Solar Performance. For more detail on how to invest in FTC Stock please use our How to Invest in FTC Solar guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FTC Solar. If investors know FTC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FTC Solar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.80) | Revenue Per Share 0.457 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.67) | Return On Assets (0.26) | Return On Equity (0.89) |
The market value of FTC Solar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FTC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FTC Solar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FTC Solar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FTC Solar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FTC Solar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FTC Solar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FTC Solar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FTC Solar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.