Ftai Aviation Ltd Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 19.92

FTAIM Preferred Stock   26.25  0.06  0.23%   
FTAI Aviation's future price is the expected price of FTAI Aviation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FTAI Aviation Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FTAI Aviation Backtesting, FTAI Aviation Valuation, FTAI Aviation Correlation, FTAI Aviation Hype Analysis, FTAI Aviation Volatility, FTAI Aviation History as well as FTAI Aviation Performance.
  
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FTAI Aviation Target Price Odds to finish over 19.92

The tendency of FTAI Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  19.92  in 90 days
 26.25 90 days 19.92 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FTAI Aviation to stay above  19.92  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FTAI Aviation Ltd probability density function shows the probability of FTAI Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FTAI Aviation price to stay between  19.92  and its current price of 26.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FTAI Aviation has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FTAI Aviation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FTAI Aviation Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FTAI Aviation Ltd has an alpha of 0.0172, implying that it can generate a 0.0172 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FTAI Aviation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FTAI Aviation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FTAI Aviation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.4226.3127.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.5626.4527.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.3626.2527.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.0726.8227.57
Details

FTAI Aviation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FTAI Aviation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FTAI Aviation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FTAI Aviation Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FTAI Aviation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

FTAI Aviation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FTAI Aviation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FTAI Aviation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 708.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (212.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
FTAI Aviation generates negative cash flow from operations

FTAI Aviation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FTAI Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FTAI Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FTAI Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments33.6 M

FTAI Aviation Technical Analysis

FTAI Aviation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FTAI Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FTAI Aviation Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing FTAI Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FTAI Aviation Predictive Forecast Models

FTAI Aviation's time-series forecasting models is one of many FTAI Aviation's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FTAI Aviation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FTAI Aviation

Checking the ongoing alerts about FTAI Aviation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FTAI Aviation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 708.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (212.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
FTAI Aviation generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in FTAI Preferred Stock

FTAI Aviation financial ratios help investors to determine whether FTAI Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FTAI with respect to the benefits of owning FTAI Aviation security.