Insurance Portfolio Insurance Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 97.78

FSPCX Fund  USD 103.44  0.56  0.54%   
Insurance Portfolio's future price is the expected price of Insurance Portfolio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Insurance Portfolio Insurance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Insurance Portfolio Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Insurance Portfolio Correlation, Insurance Portfolio Hype Analysis, Insurance Portfolio Volatility, Insurance Portfolio History as well as Insurance Portfolio Performance.
  
Please specify Insurance Portfolio's target price for which you would like Insurance Portfolio odds to be computed.

Insurance Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish below 97.78

The tendency of Insurance Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 97.78  or more in 90 days
 103.44 90 days 97.78 
about 62.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Insurance Portfolio to drop to $ 97.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 62.84 (This Insurance Portfolio Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Insurance Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Insurance Portfolio price to stay between $ 97.78  and its current price of $103.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Insurance Portfolio has a beta of 0.87. This usually indicates Insurance Portfolio Insurance market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Insurance Portfolio is expected to follow. Additionally Insurance Portfolio Insurance has an alpha of 0.0493, implying that it can generate a 0.0493 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Insurance Portfolio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Insurance Portfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Insurance Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Insurance Portfolio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.48103.44104.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.10112.75113.71
Details

Insurance Portfolio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Insurance Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Insurance Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Insurance Portfolio Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Insurance Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.87
σ
Overall volatility
2.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Insurance Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Insurance Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Insurance Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Insurance Portfolio Technical Analysis

Insurance Portfolio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Insurance Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Insurance Portfolio Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Insurance Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Insurance Portfolio Predictive Forecast Models

Insurance Portfolio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Insurance Portfolio's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Insurance Portfolio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Insurance Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Insurance Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Insurance Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Insurance Mutual Fund

Insurance Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Insurance Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Insurance with respect to the benefits of owning Insurance Portfolio security.
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