4Imprint Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4,889
| FOUR Stock | 4,800 40.00 0.84% |
4Imprint |
4Imprint Group Target Price Odds to finish below 4,889
The tendency of 4Imprint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 4,800 | 90 days | 4,800 | nearly 4.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 4Imprint Group to move below current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.0 (This 4Imprint Group Plc probability density function shows the probability of 4Imprint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 4Imprint Group Plc has a beta of -0.0164. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 4Imprint Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 4Imprint Group Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 4Imprint Group Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 4Imprint Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 4Imprint Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 4Imprint Group Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.4Imprint Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 4Imprint Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 4Imprint Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 4Imprint Group Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 4Imprint Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 167.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
4Imprint Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 4Imprint Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 4Imprint Group Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 4Imprint Group Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 4Imprint Group Plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 4imprint Group plc Insider Paul Moody Buys 1,500 Shares - MarketBeat |
4Imprint Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 4Imprint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 4Imprint Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 4Imprint Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 104.5 M |
4Imprint Group Technical Analysis
4Imprint Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 4Imprint Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 4Imprint Group Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing 4Imprint Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
4Imprint Group Predictive Forecast Models
4Imprint Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many 4Imprint Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 4Imprint Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 4Imprint Group Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about 4Imprint Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 4Imprint Group Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 4Imprint Group Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 4Imprint Group Plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 4imprint Group plc Insider Paul Moody Buys 1,500 Shares - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for 4Imprint Stock Analysis
When running 4Imprint Group's price analysis, check to measure 4Imprint Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 4Imprint Group is operating at the current time. Most of 4Imprint Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 4Imprint Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 4Imprint Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 4Imprint Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.