La Foncire (Switzerland) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 128.69
| FOC Fund | CHF 154.00 2.00 1.32% |
FOC |
La Foncire Target Price Odds to finish below 128.69
The tendency of FOC Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 128.69 or more in 90 days |
| 154.00 | 90 days | 128.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of La Foncire to drop to ₣ 128.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This La Foncire probability density function shows the probability of FOC Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of La Foncire price to stay between ₣ 128.69 and its current price of ₣154.0 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon La Foncire has a beta of -0.0108. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding La Foncire are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, La Foncire is likely to outperform the market. Additionally La Foncire has an alpha of 0.1499, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). La Foncire Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for La Foncire
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as La Foncire. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.La Foncire Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. La Foncire is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the La Foncire's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold La Foncire, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of La Foncire within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
La Foncire Technical Analysis
La Foncire's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FOC Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of La Foncire. In general, you should focus on analyzing FOC Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
La Foncire Predictive Forecast Models
La Foncire's time-series forecasting models is one of many La Foncire's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary La Foncire's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards La Foncire in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, La Foncire's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from La Foncire options trading.
Other Information on Investing in FOC Fund
La Foncire financial ratios help investors to determine whether FOC Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FOC with respect to the benefits of owning La Foncire security.
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