Fidelity National Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62.19
| FNF Stock | USD 63.03 0.36 0.57% |
Closest to current price Fidelity long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Fidelity |
Fidelity National Target Price Odds to finish below 62.19
The tendency of Fidelity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 62.19 or more in 90 days |
| 63.03 | 90 days | 62.19 | about 89.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity National to drop to $ 62.19 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.91 (This Fidelity National Financial probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity National price to stay between $ 62.19 and its current price of $63.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.07 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Fidelity National has a beta of 0.64. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fidelity National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fidelity National Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fidelity National Financial has an alpha of 0.0409, implying that it can generate a 0.0409 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fidelity National Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fidelity National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fidelity National Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity National Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0046 |
Fidelity National Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 4643 shares by Peter Sadowski of Fidelity National at 43.94 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Fidelity National Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fidelity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fidelity National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidelity National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 271 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.6 B |
Fidelity National Technical Analysis
Fidelity National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity National Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fidelity National Predictive Forecast Models
Fidelity National's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity National's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fidelity National
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 4643 shares by Peter Sadowski of Fidelity National at 43.94 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Fidelity National Backtesting, Fidelity National Valuation, Fidelity National Correlation, Fidelity National Hype Analysis, Fidelity National Volatility, Fidelity National History as well as Fidelity National Performance. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fidelity National. If investors know Fidelity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fidelity National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 2.75 | Revenue Per Share 49.972 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.294 |
The market value of Fidelity National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fidelity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fidelity National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fidelity National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fidelity National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fidelity National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.