Fundos De (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 54.15
| FMOF11 Fund | BRL 49.97 1.02 2.00% |
Fundos |
Fundos De Target Price Odds to finish below 54.15
The tendency of Fundos Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 54.15 after 90 days |
| 49.97 | 90 days | 54.15 | over 95.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fundos De to stay under R$ 54.15 after 90 days from now is over 95.73 (This Fundos de Investimento probability density function shows the probability of Fundos Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fundos de Investimento price to stay between its current price of R$ 49.97 and R$ 54.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fundos De has a beta of 0.0614. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fundos De average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fundos de Investimento will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fundos de Investimento has an alpha of 0.1523, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fundos De Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fundos De
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundos de Investimento. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fundos De Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fundos De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fundos De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fundos de Investimento, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fundos De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Fundos De Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fundos De for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fundos de Investimento can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fundos De had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Fundos De Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fundos Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fundos De's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fundos De's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 208 |
Fundos De Technical Analysis
Fundos De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fundos Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fundos de Investimento. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fundos Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fundos De Predictive Forecast Models
Fundos De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fundos De's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fundos De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fundos de Investimento
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fundos De for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fundos de Investimento help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fundos De had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Fundos Fund
Fundos De financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fundos Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fundos with respect to the benefits of owning Fundos De security.
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