Farmers And Merchants Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 14.27

FMFG Stock  USD 20.51  2.51  13.94%   
Farmers' future price is the expected price of Farmers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Farmers and Merchants performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Farmers Backtesting, Farmers Valuation, Farmers Correlation, Farmers Hype Analysis, Farmers Volatility, Farmers History as well as Farmers Performance.
  
Please specify Farmers' target price for which you would like Farmers odds to be computed.

Farmers Target Price Odds to finish over 14.27

The tendency of Farmers Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 14.27  in 90 days
 20.51 90 days 14.27 
about 78.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmers to stay above $ 14.27  in 90 days from now is about 78.91 (This Farmers and Merchants probability density function shows the probability of Farmers Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Farmers and Merchants price to stay between $ 14.27  and its current price of $20.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.91 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers and Merchants has a beta of -0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Farmers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Farmers and Merchants is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Farmers and Merchants has an alpha of 0.4575, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Farmers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farmers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmers and Merchants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.7720.5124.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0915.8322.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmers and Merchants.

Farmers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmers and Merchants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Farmers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmers and Merchants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmers had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Farmers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmers Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments25.3 K

Farmers Technical Analysis

Farmers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farmers Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Farmers and Merchants. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farmers Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Farmers Predictive Forecast Models

Farmers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Farmers' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Farmers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Farmers and Merchants

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmers and Merchants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmers had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Farmers Pink Sheet

Farmers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Farmers Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Farmers with respect to the benefits of owning Farmers security.