First Interstate Bancsystem Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.83

FIBK Stock  USD 32.47  0.04  0.12%   
First Interstate's future price is the expected price of First Interstate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Interstate BancSystem performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First Interstate Backtesting, First Interstate Valuation, First Interstate Correlation, First Interstate Hype Analysis, First Interstate Volatility, First Interstate History as well as First Interstate Performance.
  
At this time, First Interstate's Price Book Value Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is expected to rise to 1.42 this year, although the value of Price Earnings To Growth Ratio will most likely fall to 0.27. Please specify First Interstate's target price for which you would like First Interstate odds to be computed.

First Interstate Target Price Odds to finish over 23.83

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 23.83  in 90 days
 32.47 90 days 23.83 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Interstate to stay above $ 23.83  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This First Interstate BancSystem probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Interstate Ban price to stay between $ 23.83  and its current price of $32.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Interstate has a beta of 0.0697. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Interstate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Interstate BancSystem will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Interstate BancSystem has an alpha of 0.143, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Interstate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Interstate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Interstate Ban. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.8932.3634.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.6831.1533.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.9733.4535.92
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.3030.0033.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Interstate. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Interstate's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Interstate's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Interstate Ban.

First Interstate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Interstate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Interstate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Interstate BancSystem, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Interstate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

First Interstate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Interstate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Interstate Ban can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Interstate Ban has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of November 2024 First Interstate paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Interstate BancSystem Cut to Sell at StockNews.com

First Interstate Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Interstate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Interstate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments379 M

First Interstate Technical Analysis

First Interstate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Interstate BancSystem. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Interstate Predictive Forecast Models

First Interstate's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Interstate's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Interstate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Naive Prediction
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Double Exponential Smoothing
Triple Exponential Smoothing
Simple Regression
Polynomial Regression
Simple Moving Average
4 Period Moving Average