Fiberweb (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.25

FIBERWEB   61.33  1.67  2.65%   
Fiberweb's future price is the expected price of Fiberweb instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fiberweb Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fiberweb Backtesting, Fiberweb Valuation, Fiberweb Correlation, Fiberweb Hype Analysis, Fiberweb Volatility, Fiberweb History as well as Fiberweb Performance.
  
Please specify Fiberweb's target price for which you would like Fiberweb odds to be computed.

Fiberweb Target Price Odds to finish below 32.25

The tendency of Fiberweb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  32.25  or more in 90 days
 61.33 90 days 32.25 
about 1.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fiberweb to drop to  32.25  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.28 (This Fiberweb Limited probability density function shows the probability of Fiberweb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fiberweb Limited price to stay between  32.25  and its current price of 61.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fiberweb has a beta of 0.21. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fiberweb average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fiberweb Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fiberweb Limited has an alpha of 0.4949, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fiberweb Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fiberweb

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiberweb Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.3263.9867.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.3857.0467.46
Details

Fiberweb Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fiberweb is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fiberweb's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fiberweb Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fiberweb within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
7.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Fiberweb Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fiberweb for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fiberweb Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fiberweb Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fiberweb Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fiberweb Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fiberweb Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fiberweb's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiberweb's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36.9 M

Fiberweb Technical Analysis

Fiberweb's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fiberweb Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fiberweb Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fiberweb Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fiberweb Predictive Forecast Models

Fiberweb's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fiberweb's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fiberweb's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fiberweb Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fiberweb for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fiberweb Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fiberweb Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fiberweb Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fiberweb Stock

Fiberweb financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fiberweb Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fiberweb with respect to the benefits of owning Fiberweb security.