Franklin High Yield Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.14

FHYIX Fund  USD 9.22  0.04  0.43%   
Franklin High's future price is the expected price of Franklin High instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin High Yield performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin High Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin High Correlation, Franklin High Hype Analysis, Franklin High Volatility, Franklin High History as well as Franklin High Performance.
  
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Franklin High Target Price Odds to finish over 10.14

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.14  or more in 90 days
 9.22 90 days 10.14 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin High to move over $ 10.14  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Franklin High Yield probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin High Yield price to stay between its current price of $ 9.22  and $ 10.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin High Yield has a beta of -0.1. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Franklin High are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Franklin High Yield is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Franklin High Yield has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Franklin High Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin High Yield. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.939.229.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.478.7610.14
Details

Franklin High Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin High Yield, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0021
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

Franklin High Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin High Yield can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin High Yield generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin High Yield retains about 8.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Franklin High Technical Analysis

Franklin High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin High Yield. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin High Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin High's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin High's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin High's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin High Yield

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin High Yield help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin High Yield generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Franklin High Yield retains about 8.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin High security.
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