Fa529 Gr Op Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 75.04

FGALX Fund  USD 79.23  0.93  1.19%   
Fa529 Gr's future price is the expected price of Fa529 Gr instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fa529 Gr Op performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fa529 Gr Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fa529 Gr Correlation, Fa529 Gr Hype Analysis, Fa529 Gr Volatility, Fa529 Gr History as well as Fa529 Gr Performance.
  
Please specify Fa529 Gr's target price for which you would like Fa529 Gr odds to be computed.

Fa529 Gr Target Price Odds to finish below 75.04

The tendency of Fa529 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 75.04  or more in 90 days
 79.23 90 days 75.04 
about 33.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fa529 Gr to drop to $ 75.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.19 (This Fa529 Gr Op probability density function shows the probability of Fa529 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fa529 Gr Op price to stay between $ 75.04  and its current price of $79.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fa529 Gr has a beta of 0.9. This usually indicates Fa529 Gr Op market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fa529 Gr is expected to follow. Additionally Fa529 Gr Op has an alpha of 0.1214, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fa529 Gr Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fa529 Gr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fa529 Gr Op. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.1479.2380.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.3185.2686.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.5377.6378.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.8579.6582.46
Details

Fa529 Gr Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fa529 Gr is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fa529 Gr's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fa529 Gr Op, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fa529 Gr within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
2.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Fa529 Gr Technical Analysis

Fa529 Gr's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fa529 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fa529 Gr Op. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fa529 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fa529 Gr Predictive Forecast Models

Fa529 Gr's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fa529 Gr's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fa529 Gr's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fa529 Gr in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fa529 Gr's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fa529 Gr options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Fa529 Mutual Fund

Fa529 Gr financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fa529 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fa529 with respect to the benefits of owning Fa529 Gr security.
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