Fairfax India Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 15.44
| FFXDF Stock | USD 17.65 0.62 3.39% |
Fairfax |
Fairfax India Target Price Odds to finish below 15.44
The tendency of Fairfax Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.44 or more in 90 days |
| 17.65 | 90 days | 15.44 | about 15.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fairfax India to drop to $ 15.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.77 (This Fairfax India Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Fairfax Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fairfax India Holdings price to stay between $ 15.44 and its current price of $17.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fairfax India has a beta of 0.91. This usually indicates Fairfax India Holdings market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fairfax India is expected to follow. Additionally Fairfax India Holdings has an alpha of 0.3118, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fairfax India Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fairfax India
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fairfax India Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fairfax India's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fairfax India Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fairfax India is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fairfax India's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fairfax India Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fairfax India within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Fairfax India Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fairfax India for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fairfax India Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fairfax India has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Fairfax India Holdings has accumulated 497.18 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Fairfax India Holdings has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fairfax India until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fairfax India's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fairfax India Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fairfax to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fairfax India's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 27.0% of Fairfax India shares are held by company insiders |
Fairfax India Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fairfax Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fairfax India's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fairfax India's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 141.2 M |
Fairfax India Technical Analysis
Fairfax India's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fairfax Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fairfax India Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fairfax Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fairfax India Predictive Forecast Models
Fairfax India's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fairfax India's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fairfax India's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fairfax India Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fairfax India for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fairfax India Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fairfax India has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Fairfax India Holdings has accumulated 497.18 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Fairfax India Holdings has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fairfax India until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fairfax India's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fairfax India Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fairfax to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fairfax India's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 27.0% of Fairfax India shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Fairfax Pink Sheet
Fairfax India financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fairfax Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fairfax with respect to the benefits of owning Fairfax India security.