F5 Networks (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 241.81

FFV Stock  EUR 245.10  3.70  1.53%   
F5 Networks' future price is the expected price of F5 Networks instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of F5 Networks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out F5 Networks Backtesting, F5 Networks Valuation, F5 Networks Correlation, F5 Networks Hype Analysis, F5 Networks Volatility, F5 Networks History as well as F5 Networks Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in FFV Stock please use our How to Invest in F5 Networks guide.
  
Please specify F5 Networks' target price for which you would like F5 Networks odds to be computed.

F5 Networks Target Price Odds to finish over 241.81

The tendency of FFV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 241.81  in 90 days
 245.10 90 days 241.81 
about 11.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of F5 Networks to stay above € 241.81  in 90 days from now is about 11.91 (This F5 Networks probability density function shows the probability of FFV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of F5 Networks price to stay between € 241.81  and its current price of €245.1 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon F5 Networks has a beta of -0.013. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding F5 Networks are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, F5 Networks is likely to outperform the market. Additionally F5 Networks has an alpha of 0.3091, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   F5 Networks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for F5 Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as F5 Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
243.18245.10247.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
232.14234.06269.61
Details

F5 Networks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. F5 Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the F5 Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold F5 Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of F5 Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
18.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

F5 Networks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of F5 Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for F5 Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

F5 Networks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FFV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential F5 Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F5 Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.9 M

F5 Networks Technical Analysis

F5 Networks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FFV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of F5 Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing FFV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

F5 Networks Predictive Forecast Models

F5 Networks' time-series forecasting models is one of many F5 Networks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary F5 Networks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about F5 Networks

Checking the ongoing alerts about F5 Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for F5 Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in FFV Stock

When determining whether F5 Networks is a strong investment it is important to analyze F5 Networks' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact F5 Networks' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FFV Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out F5 Networks Backtesting, F5 Networks Valuation, F5 Networks Correlation, F5 Networks Hype Analysis, F5 Networks Volatility, F5 Networks History as well as F5 Networks Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in FFV Stock please use our How to Invest in F5 Networks guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between F5 Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if F5 Networks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, F5 Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.