Fairfax Fin Hld Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 11.79
| FFH-PG Preferred Stock | CAD 21.69 0.01 0.05% |
Fairfax |
Fairfax Fin Target Price Odds to finish below 11.79
The tendency of Fairfax Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 11.79 or more in 90 days |
| 21.69 | 90 days | 11.79 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fairfax Fin to drop to C$ 11.79 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fairfax Fin Hld probability density function shows the probability of Fairfax Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fairfax Fin Hld price to stay between C$ 11.79 and its current price of C$21.69 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fairfax Fin Hld has a beta of -0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fairfax Fin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fairfax Fin Hld is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fairfax Fin Hld has an alpha of 0.3451, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fairfax Fin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fairfax Fin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fairfax Fin Hld. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fairfax Fin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fairfax Fin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fairfax Fin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fairfax Fin Hld, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fairfax Fin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Fairfax Fin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fairfax Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fairfax Fin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fairfax Fin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.9 M |
Fairfax Fin Technical Analysis
Fairfax Fin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fairfax Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fairfax Fin Hld. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fairfax Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fairfax Fin Predictive Forecast Models
Fairfax Fin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fairfax Fin's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fairfax Fin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fairfax Fin in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fairfax Fin's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fairfax Fin options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Fairfax Preferred Stock
Fairfax Fin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fairfax Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fairfax with respect to the benefits of owning Fairfax Fin security.