Ferguson Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 174.76
| FERG Stock | USD 178.17 3.41 1.95% |
Ferguson |
Ferguson Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 174.76
The tendency of Ferguson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 174.76 or more in 90 days |
| 178.17 | 90 days | 174.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ferguson Plc to drop to $ 174.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ferguson Plc probability density function shows the probability of Ferguson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ferguson Plc price to stay between $ 174.76 and its current price of $178.17 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.41 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ferguson Plc will likely underperform. Additionally Ferguson Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ferguson Plc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ferguson Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ferguson Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ferguson Plc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ferguson Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ferguson Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ferguson Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ferguson Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Ferguson Plc Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ferguson Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ferguson Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ferguson Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Ferguson Plc paid $ 0.79 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Buying Brian May Acquires Shares of Ferguson Enterprises Inc |
Ferguson Plc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ferguson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ferguson Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ferguson Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 203.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 571 M |
Ferguson Plc Technical Analysis
Ferguson Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ferguson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ferguson Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ferguson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ferguson Plc Predictive Forecast Models
Ferguson Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ferguson Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ferguson Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ferguson Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ferguson Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ferguson Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ferguson Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 8th of November 2024 Ferguson Plc paid $ 0.79 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Buying Brian May Acquires Shares of Ferguson Enterprises Inc |
Check out Ferguson Plc Backtesting, Ferguson Plc Valuation, Ferguson Plc Correlation, Ferguson Plc Hype Analysis, Ferguson Plc Volatility, Ferguson Plc History as well as Ferguson Plc Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Ferguson Stock please use our How to Invest in Ferguson Plc guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ferguson Plc. If investors know Ferguson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ferguson Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Earnings Share 8.34 | Revenue Per Share 146.057 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 | Return On Assets 0.1015 |
The market value of Ferguson Plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ferguson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ferguson Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ferguson Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ferguson Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ferguson Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ferguson Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ferguson Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ferguson Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.