FedEx Corp (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 221.45
| FDX Stock | EUR 221.45 1.05 0.47% |
FedEx |
FedEx Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 221.45
The tendency of FedEx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 221.45 | 90 days | 221.45 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FedEx Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FedEx Corp probability density function shows the probability of FedEx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FedEx Corp has a beta of -0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FedEx Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FedEx Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FedEx Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FedEx Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FedEx Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FedEx Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FedEx Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FedEx Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FedEx Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FedEx Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FedEx Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
FedEx Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FedEx Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FedEx Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FedEx Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
FedEx Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FedEx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FedEx Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FedEx Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 259.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 793 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 50 M |
FedEx Corp Technical Analysis
FedEx Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FedEx Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FedEx Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FedEx Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FedEx Corp Predictive Forecast Models
FedEx Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many FedEx Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FedEx Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FedEx Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about FedEx Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FedEx Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FedEx Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in FedEx Stock
FedEx Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether FedEx Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FedEx with respect to the benefits of owning FedEx Corp security.