Futebol Clube (Portugal) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.40

FCP Stock  EUR 1.11  0.02  1.77%   
Futebol Clube's future price is the expected price of Futebol Clube instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Futebol Clube do performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Futebol Clube Backtesting, Futebol Clube Valuation, Futebol Clube Correlation, Futebol Clube Hype Analysis, Futebol Clube Volatility, Futebol Clube History as well as Futebol Clube Performance.
  
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Futebol Clube Target Price Odds to finish over 8.40

The tendency of Futebol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 8.40  or more in 90 days
 1.11 90 days 8.40 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Futebol Clube to move over € 8.40  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Futebol Clube do probability density function shows the probability of Futebol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Futebol Clube do price to stay between its current price of € 1.11  and € 8.40  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Futebol Clube do has a beta of -0.0824. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Futebol Clube are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Futebol Clube do is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Futebol Clube do has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Futebol Clube Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Futebol Clube

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Futebol Clube do. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.113.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.963.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.093.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.091.131.16
Details

Futebol Clube Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Futebol Clube is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Futebol Clube's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Futebol Clube do, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Futebol Clube within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Futebol Clube Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Futebol Clube for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Futebol Clube do can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Futebol Clube do generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Futebol Clube do may become a speculative penny stock
Futebol Clube do has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Futebol Clube generates negative cash flow from operations
About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Futebol Clube Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Futebol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Futebol Clube's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Futebol Clube's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.5 M

Futebol Clube Technical Analysis

Futebol Clube's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Futebol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Futebol Clube do. In general, you should focus on analyzing Futebol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Futebol Clube Predictive Forecast Models

Futebol Clube's time-series forecasting models is one of many Futebol Clube's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Futebol Clube's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Futebol Clube do

Checking the ongoing alerts about Futebol Clube for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Futebol Clube do help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Futebol Clube do generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Futebol Clube do may become a speculative penny stock
Futebol Clube do has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Futebol Clube generates negative cash flow from operations
About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Futebol Stock Analysis

When running Futebol Clube's price analysis, check to measure Futebol Clube's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Futebol Clube is operating at the current time. Most of Futebol Clube's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Futebol Clube's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Futebol Clube's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Futebol Clube to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.