Fat Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.48
| FAT Stock | USD 5.33 0.04 0.74% |
FAT |
FAT Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 0.48
The tendency of FAT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.48 or more in 90 days |
| 5.33 | 90 days | 0.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FAT Brands to drop to $ 0.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FAT Brands probability density function shows the probability of FAT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FAT Brands price to stay between $ 0.48 and its current price of $5.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.76 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon FAT Brands has a beta of 0.0794. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FAT Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FAT Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FAT Brands has an alpha of 0.2056, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FAT Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FAT Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAT Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FAT Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FAT Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FAT Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FAT Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FAT Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
FAT Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FAT Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FAT Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FAT Brands has 1.38 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.2, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for FAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 480.46 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (90.11 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 140.99 M. | |
| FAT Brands has about 23.91 M in cash with (35.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44. | |
| FAT Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 70.0% of FAT Brands shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 29th of November 2024 FAT Brands paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FAT Brands Inc. Announces Participation in the 27th Annual ICR Conference |
FAT Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FAT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FAT Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAT Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37 M |
FAT Brands Technical Analysis
FAT Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FAT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FAT Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing FAT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FAT Brands Predictive Forecast Models
FAT Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many FAT Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FAT Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FAT Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about FAT Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FAT Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FAT Brands has 1.38 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.2, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for FAT to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 480.46 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (90.11 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 140.99 M. | |
| FAT Brands has about 23.91 M in cash with (35.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44. | |
| FAT Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 70.0% of FAT Brands shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 29th of November 2024 FAT Brands paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FAT Brands Inc. Announces Participation in the 27th Annual ICR Conference |
Additional Tools for FAT Stock Analysis
When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.